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Markets / Products 23. November 2022

Aluminium foil deliveries in Q3 continue positive trend

Despite a small dip in deliveries in Q3 2022, down just 0,3 % at 237,800 t year-on-year, the 9-month performance is still 0,4 % ahead of the previous year. 

Although Q3 alufoil deliveries were slightly down compared to the same quarter last year, they increased slightly over the 9-month period
Although Q3 alufoil deliveries were slightly down compared to the same quarter last year, they increased slightly over the 9-month period

Q3 saw a solid performance across all markets. It is well ahead of comparative figures for 2020 (+1,8 %) when the full impact of Covid-19 was being felt, and 3,6 % above 2019 pre-pandemic levels, according to figures released by the European Aluminium Foil Association.

Strong demand for thinner gauges 

Deliveries of thinner gauges, used mainly for flexible packaging and household foils, continued the trend seen through the first half of the year, showing an increase of 1,8 % compared to the 2021 volumes, and January to September deliveries remain comfortably ahead of the year before (+2,1 %). This is accounted for, mainly, by continuing strong demand from packaging converters in Europe.

Continued slowdown of thicker gauges 

Demand for thicker gauges, used for semi-rigid containers, technical or other applications, declined 4,1 % in the three-month period and year-to-date by 2,7 %, reflecting a continued slowdown in out-of-home food deliveries, destocking and ongoing disruptions in the technical markets it serves.

After some weaker figures for export deliveries of aluminium foil outside Europe in the first half of the year, there was an increase of 1,3 % in Q3 as local production issues, such as continued lockdowns in these markets, caused them supply problems. However, the first nine months of 2022 saw an overall decline of 9,7 % in sales for European foil rollers to non-European customers.

“Strong performance in the current circumstances”

Guido Aufdemkamp, executive director of the European Aluminium Foil Association, sees some positive signs in the latest figures. “This is a strong performance in the current circumstances, and we remain cautiously optimistic that the rest of the year will continue to reflect a return to more normal levels of shipments, particularly in Europe. Demand in the packaging converting sector remains high and, while technical markets such as automotive and construction remain disrupted and therefore uncertain, the pattern for the year shows a more stable outlook.”

Energy costs, supply disruption and war in Ukraine continue to impact the market

He continued: “Certainly we are well ahead of the demand levels seen in 2019 and 2020. A slowdown in some volumes compared to 2021 could be expected as, in that period, companies were restocking after a long period of depressed demand, this is particularly true of thicker gauges. The market for thinner gauges seems to be growing continuously and we expect this to be maintained during 2023. While energy costs, materials supply disruption and the conflict in Ukraine will continue to impact on markets, the foil rolling industry in Europe has shown itself to be adaptable and resilient to be able to meet the needs of its customers.”

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